Sunday, February 5, 2012

SUPER BOWL PICK

                        P     M     E
NYG                1      1     2
NE     -2.5        1      2     1
Superbowl teams that have dominated in their most recent 3 to 5 road games to the tune of beating their home opposition by an average of 10 or more points outright have covered a perfect last 6 Superbowls ATS. Road domination is a proven winning component in this mega game.
PLAY the Pats -2.5 over the Giants.

Sunday, January 22, 2012

PLAYOFF WEEK 3 PICKS

Refer to Legend and Definitions to left.

                     P     M     E
BAL              2     3      2
NE    -7         1     1      1
Excellent home playoff favorites when opposing good road playoff dogs have covered only 2 of the last 9 ATS with the average pointspread being 5.5.
PLAY the Ravens +7 over the Patriots.  WIN

                    P     M     E
NYG             1     1      1
SF       -2      1     2      4
Excellent home playoff favorites when opposing excellent road playoff dogs have covered 12 of the last 17 ATS with the average pointspread being 4.5.
PLAY the 49ers -2 over the Giants.  LOSS

Saturday, January 14, 2012

PLAYOFF WEEK 2 PICKS

Refer to Legend and Definitions to the left.

                      P     M     E
NO -3.5          2      4     1
SF                  1      2     3
Home dogs with advantages in performance and momentum have covered only 4 of the last 18 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Saints -3.5 over the 49ers.  LOSS

                        P     M     E
DEN                 4      5     3
NE    -13.5       1      1     2
Home favorites with advantages in performance, momentum and efficiency havwe covered only 20 of the last 56 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Broncos +13.5 over the Patriots.  LOSS

Sunday, January 8, 2012

PLAYOFF WEEK 1 PICKS

NO PICKS this weeekend. (No games are strong enough to merit a play.)

Sunday, January 1, 2012

WEEK 17 NFL PICKS

Refer to Legend and Definitions to the left.

8 Picks today.

                       P     M     E
IND                 4      2     2
JAX -3.5         3     2      3
Home favorites with an advantage in performance and equal in momentum have covered only 24 of the last 76 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Colts +3.5 over the Jaguars.  LOSS

                     P     M     E
CHI               5      5      5
MIN -2           5      4      3
Home favorites with a one level advantage in momentum and a one or two level advantage in efficiency have covered only 5 of the last 24 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Bears +2 over the Vikings.  WIN

                       P     M     E
BUF                4      4     4
NE    -10.5      1      2     2
Home favorites with an advantage in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered only 20 of the last 56 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Bills +10.5 over the Patriots.  LOSS

                       P     M     E
WAS               3      2      3
PHL  -8           1      1      1
Home favorites with an advantage in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 31 of the last 48 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Eagles -8.5 over the Redskins.  WIN

                         P     M     E
SF     -10.5       2      4      3
STL                  5      3      5
Road favorites with a significant advantage in performance and an edge in efficiency have covered only 13 of the last 40 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Rams +10.5 over the 49ers. WIN

                      P     M     E
BAL -2.5       3      5      3
CIN               3      3      2
Home dogs with an edge in efficiency and equal in performance have covered 24 of the last 37 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Bengals +2.5 over the Ravens.  LOSS

                    P     M     E
SD               2      2      2
OAK -3        4      5     3
Road dogs with an edge in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 42 of the last 63 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Chargers +3 over the Raiders. WIN

                 P     M     E
SEA          1      1      1
ARZ -3      3      3      3
Road dogs with an edge in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 42 of the last 63 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Seahawks +3 over the Cardinals. PUSH

Saturday, December 24, 2011

WEEK 16 PICKS

Refer to Legend and Definitions to left.

                     P     M     E
ARZ              3      3      2
CIN  -4.5      4     5      3
Road dogs that have an advantage in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 42 of the last 62 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Cardinals +4.5 over the Bengals.  LOSS

                      P     M     E
TB                 5      5      5
CAR -7.5       3      2      1
Home favorites with advantages in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 30 of the last 47 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Panthers -7.5 over the Buccaneers. WIN

                       P     M     E
CLE                5      4      4
BAL -12.5      2      3      3
Road dogs with a significant disadvantage in performance and a slight disadvantage in efficiency have covered 14 of the last 18 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Browns +12.5 over the Ravens. WIN

                     P     M     E
DEN -3          4      4     3
BUF               5      5     5
Road favorites with a 2 or more level advantage in efficiency with an edge in performance have covered 51 of the last 77 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Broncos -3 over the Bills. LOSS

                     P     M     E
SD                1      1      1
DET -2.5       3      3     4
Road dogs that have an advantage in performance, momentum and efficiency have covered 42 of the last 62 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Chargers +2.5 over the Lions. LOSS

Monday, December 19, 2011

WEEK 15 MNF

                 P     M     E
PIT            1     2      1
SF   -3       1     2      4
Home favorites with a significant disadvantage in efficiency coming off a SU loss have covered only 3 of the last 18 ATS within the pointspread range.
PLAY the Steelers +3 over the 49ers.  LOSS